The world becomes more emitting in spite of power sector gains

The world was still experiencing an increase in greenhouse gas emissions early in 2025, although large declines were observed in the power sector of nations such as India and China. The primary reason is still heavy fossil fuel use, especially in the United States, which is jeopardizing global climate goals.

Emission Trends 2025

Between January and June 2025, the emissions are 31 billion tonnes of CO2-equivalent, 0.13 percent higher than 2024. The only month it increased was June by 0.29 percent, where methane emissions rose 0.49 percent, portending more environmental issues than carbon dioxide.

Fossil Fuels as Main Driver

The world used an additional 1.5 percent of fossil fuels, approximately 78 million tonnes CO2-equivalent, more than half of which was in the US. Climate gains are being counterbalanced by sustained reliance on oil, gas and coal despite the adoption of renewables.

Power Sector Emissions Decreased.

A reduction of 60 million tonnes of CO2-equivalent was registered in the power sector. China was the first with a decrease of 1.7 percent, and India dropped by 0.8 percent, demonstrating the influence of renewable energy and efficiency actions.

Other Sectors, and Manufacturing.

Emissions manufacturing increased 0.3 percent and was driven by growth in India, Vietnam, Indonesia, and Brazil. Other industries also increased in the EU and Indonesia with gaps in sector-wide decarbonisation.

Climate Promises and Threats.

The International Court of Justice has cautioned that the unrestrained consumption of fossil fuel may be an internationally wrongful act. The IPCC emphasizes the fact that the peak of the emission should be reached by 2025 and the level should decrease significantly by 2030 to achieve the target of 1.5degC.

The Challenge Ahead

Regardless of any renewable achievements, increasing fossil fuel demand, and, in particular, natural gas, is pushing emissions upward. Climate targets will become out of control unless action is taken with immediate effect to reduce reliance on fossil fuels.